Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 24.831424 28.690231 32.864719 37.705518 43.153201 49.082834 56.013716
2025-01-19 17.124951 22.180047 28.189657 35.808826 45.154216 56.182491 70.115254
2025-01-26 14.324238 20.262122 27.846301 38.120618 51.535166 68.299764 90.656956
2025-02-02 12.864670 19.558564 28.619131 41.556817 59.292468 82.454656 114.633941
2025-02-09 10.940450 17.793062 27.579865 42.240657 63.236837 91.746646 132.799249
2025-02-16 9.261952 16.047694 26.234905 42.180957 65.939140 99.342370 148.988665
2025-02-23 7.841727 14.433749 24.808531 41.728114 67.873079 105.818091 163.851715
2025-03-02 6.728912 13.118238 23.631306 41.443356 69.906409 112.427892 179.163226
2025-03-09 5.805178 11.964323 22.540016 41.117883 71.753066 118.765580 194.327759
2025-03-16 4.696833 10.287641 20.341930 38.702084 70.005381 119.419108 200.839048
2025-03-23 4.310329 9.903465 20.330820 39.949445 74.260563 129.591912 222.480895
2025-03-30 4.049686 9.723676 20.656004 41.789023 79.604109 141.760840 247.853159
2025-04-06 3.421223 8.717547 19.381795 40.748777 80.148164 146.539203 262.319399
2025-04-13 2.790718 7.591831 17.734511 38.856352 79.070946 148.640152 272.729837
2025-04-20 2.667503 7.595189 18.356227 41.364852 86.132109 164.957682 307.693006
2025-04-27 2.651196 7.849677 19.527062 45.057568 95.643645 186.037884 351.784089
2025-05-04 2.393374 7.456650 19.253201 45.792166 99.609550 197.591127 380.109521
2025-05-11 2.110837 6.940596 18.632286 45.728347 102.004270 206.441166 404.141427
2025-05-18 1.839349 6.393855 17.859376 45.242659 103.496755 213.689001 425.645369
2025-05-25 1.614451 5.927372 17.206452 44.937205 105.300837 221.575236 448.638504
2025-06-01 1.416433 5.493818 16.568964 44.588046 106.964812 229.256603 471.591217
2025-06-08 1.143896 4.755171 15.039956 41.995612 103.680310 227.242883 476.475483
2025-06-15 1.070407 4.652017 15.163850 43.334359 108.917481 242.054359 513.558138